Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress

Compared outcomes

Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.

Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.

Outcome	Polymarket	Mid	Last	Gap
Anne Hathaway	53.5%	53.0%	54.0%	+0.5
Penélope Cruz	25.5%	19.0%	19.0%	+6.5
Tao Okamoto	8.0%	0.5%	1.0%	+7.4
Mariana di Girolamo	6.6%	0.5%	1.0%	+6.1
Zendaya	5.4%	0.5%	1.0%	+4.9
Betty Gilpin	5.0%	0.5%	1.0%	+4.5
Sandra Hüller	4.7%	6.5%	6.0%	−1.8
Isabella Rossellini	3.5%	0.5%	1.0%	+3.0
Margaret Qualley	3.5%	0.5%	1.0%	+3.0
Danielle Deadwyler	3.3%	0.5%	1.0%	+2.8
Parker Posey	2.9%	0.5%	1.0%	+2.4
Gemma Chan	1.5%	2.5%	2.0%	−1.1
Inde Navarrette	1.4%	3.0%	3.0%	−1.6

Polymarket only · 43

Actress AActress AAActress ABActress ACActress ADActress AEActress AFActress AG+35 more

Kalshi only · 3

Amanda SeyfriedKate O'FlynnTie