
Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Gap | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 66.5% | 67.0% | −4.5 | |
| 24.5% | 21.5% | 23.0% | +3.0 | |
| 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | +2.9 | |
| 5.7% | 10.5% | 19.0% | −4.8 | |
| 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | +0.2 | |
| 0.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | −1.6 | |
| 0.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | −2.6 | |
| 0.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | −1.6 | |
| 0.1% | 2.0% | 5.0% | −1.8 | |
| 0.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | −1.8 |