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Updated 1s agoPolymarket14 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi18 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 6Kalshi only · 10
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket14 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $28.9KLiquidity $21.6KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi18 catalog outcomesOpenOscar Winner: Best Director
Volume $205.8KOpen interest $157.8KEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2027-best-director-winner-20260727173335231
will-aaron-sorkin-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335237
will-alejandro-gpt-inarritu-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335235
will-bassam-tariq-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335243
will-christopher-nolan-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335232
will-david-opt-russell-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335242
will-denis-villeneuve-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335234
will-jesse-eisenberg-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335240
will-jordan-firstman-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335245
will-lance-oppenheim-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335244
will-martin-mcdonagh-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335233
will-olivia-wilde-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335239
will-peter-farrelly-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335241
will-phil-lord-or-christopher-miller-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260804005658763
will-steven-spielberg-win-best-director-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173335236
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARDIR-27
KXOSCARDIR-27-ALE
KXOSCARDIR-27-AND
KXOSCARDIR-27-BEN
KXOSCARDIR-27-CHRI
KXOSCARDIR-27-DAN
KXOSCARDIR-27-DAV
KXOSCARDIR-27-DEN
KXOSCARDIR-27-JAN
KXOSCARDIR-27-JAV
KXOSCARDIR-27-JES
KXOSCARDIR-27-JOE
KXOSCARDIR-27-MAR
KXOSCARDIR-27-MIK
KXOSCARDIR-27-NAH
KXOSCARDIR-27-OLI
KXOSCARDIR-27-PHI
KXOSCARDIR-27-STE
KXOSCARDIR-27-TIE
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 66.5% | 66.0% | −4.5 | |
| 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | +1.0 | |
| 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | +2.5 | |
| 5.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | +4.1 | |
| 5.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | +4.0 | |
| 4.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +4.1 | |
| 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +1.0 | |
| 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.6 |
Polymarket only · 6Aaron SorkinBassam TariqDavid O. RussellJordan FirstmanLance OppenheimPeter Farrelly
Kalshi only · 10Andrew HaighBen AffleckDanny BoyleDavid FincherJanus Metz PedersenJavier Calvo and Javier AmbrossiJoel CoenMike Leigh
Probability chart · Christopher Nolan
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