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Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi41 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 4Kalshi only · 23
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket22 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $266.5KLiquidity $220.2KEnds Jul 1
Kalshi41 catalog outcomesOpenOscar Winner: Best Picture
Volume $7.91MOpen interest $5.80MEnds Dec 31
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: oscars-2027-best-picture-winner-20260727173620857
will-all-of-a-sudden-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029854
will-avengers-doomsday-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029856
will-behemoth-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620863
will-clarissa-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620864
will-digger-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620860
will-disclosure-day-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029852
will-dune-part-three-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620858
will-fatherland-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029853
will-fjord-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029849
will-josephine-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620865
will-la-bola-negra-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029860
will-michael-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029855
will-project-hail-mary-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029850
will-saturn-return-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620866
will-the-adventures-of-cliff-booth-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620862
will-the-debut-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029859
will-the-drama-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029857
will-the-invite-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029858
will-the-odyssey-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620859
will-the-social-reckoning-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727174029851
will-tony-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620867
will-wild-horse-nine-win-best-picture-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20260727173620861
Kalshi
Market: KXOSCARPIC-27
KXOSCARPIC-27-FAT
KXOSCARPIC-27-ALL
KXOSCARPIC-27-ART
KXOSCARPIC-27-AVEN
KXOSCARPIC-27-BEH
KXOSCARPIC-27-BEI
KXOSCARPIC-27-CLU
KXOSCARPIC-27-CRY
KXOSCARPIC-27-DIG
KXOSCARPIC-27-DIS
KXOSCARPIC-27-DUN
KXOSCARPIC-27-ELS
KXOSCARPIC-27-FJO
KXOSCARPIC-27-HOP
KXOSCARPIC-27-ILO
KXOSCARPIC-27-INK
KXOSCARPIC-27-JAC
KXOSCARPIC-27-JOS
KXOSCARPIC-27-MIC
KXOSCARPIC-27-MIN
KXOSCARPIC-27-NAR
KXOSCARPIC-27-OBS
KXOSCARPIC-27-PAP
KXOSCARPIC-27-PAR
KXOSCARPIC-27-PRI
KXOSCARPIC-27-PRO
KXOSCARPIC-27-SEN
KXOSCARPIC-27-TEN
KXOSCARPIC-27-BLA
KXOSCARPIC-27-DEA
KXOSCARPIC-27-DEB
KXOSCARPIC-27-DRA
KXOSCARPIC-27-ENT
KXOSCARPIC-27-ADV
KXOSCARPIC-27-INV
KXOSCARPIC-27-ODY
KXOSCARPIC-27-SOC
KXOSCARPIC-27-TIE
KXOSCARPIC-27-WER
KXOSCARPIC-27-WIL
KXOSCARPIC-27-YOU
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 51.5% | 52.0% | −2.5 | |
| 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | +1.0 | |
| 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | +0.1 | |
| 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.7 | |
| 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | −1.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 4ClarissaLa Bola NegraSaturn ReturnTony
Kalshi only · 23ArtificialBeing HeumannClub KidCry to HeavenElsinoreHopeI Love BoostersInk
Probability chart · The Odyssey
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