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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
PA-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-02 House Election Winner
Volume $40.3KLiquidity $37.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $60Open interest $54Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-PA02-26
KXHOUSERACE-PA02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-PA02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | 98.1% | 96.7% | −1.1 | |
| 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Brendan Boyle (D)
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