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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
PA-05 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-05 House Election Winner
Volume $37.4KLiquidity $43.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.9KOpen interest $1.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-05-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-05-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-05-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-PA05-26
KXHOUSERACE-PA05-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-PA05-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.4% | 96.4% | 98.5% | +1.9 | |
| 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | −0.1 |
Probability chart · Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
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