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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
PA-08 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-08 House Election Winner
Volume $18.3KLiquidity $111.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $136.0KOpen interest $121.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-08-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-08-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEPA8-26
HOUSEPA8-26-D
HOUSEPA8-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.5% | 70.5% | 71.0% | −1.0 | |
| 28.0% | 29.5% | 29.0% | −1.5 |
Probability chart · Paige Cognetti (D)
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