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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
PA-09 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-09 House Election Winner
Volume $22.3KLiquidity $39.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.0KOpen interest $1.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-09-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-09-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-09-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-PA09-26
KXHOUSERACE-PA09-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-PA09-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.7% | 97.2% | 96.2% | −0.6 | |
| 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.5% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Dan Meuser (R)
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