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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
PA-11 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-11 House Election Winner
Volume $28.7KLiquidity $67.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $8.9KOpen interest $4.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-11-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-11-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-11-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-PA11-26
KXHOUSERACE-PA11-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-PA11-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.6% | 94.3% | 94.0% | +0.3 | |
| 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | −0.4 |
Probability chart · Lloyd Smucker (R)
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