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Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesClosed Kalshi8 catalog outcomesClosed Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Kalshi only · 5
Pernambuco Governor Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket3 catalog outcomesClosedVolume $150.7KLiquidity —Ends Oct 5
Kalshi8 catalog outcomesClosedPernambuco Governor winner?
Volume $14.0KOpen interest $5.9KEnds Oct 5
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pernambuco-governor-election-winner-20260709143134925
will-ivan-moraes-win-the-pernambuco-governor-election-20260709143134928
will-joao-campos-win-the-pernambuco-governor-election-20260709143134926
will-raquel-lyra-win-the-pernambuco-governor-election-20260709143134927
Kalshi
Market: KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-GFON
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-IMOR
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-JCAM
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-JBAN
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-PCAM
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-RLYR
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-RENA
KXPERNAMBUCOGOV-26OCT25-VASS
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 97.0% | +50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 1.0% | −50.0 | |
| 0.0% | 50.0% | 2.0% | −50.0 |
Kalshi only · 5Guilherme FonsecaProfessor Jeremias do BancoProfessora CamilaRenanVictor Assis
Probability chart · Raquel Lyra
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