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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
SD-AL House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $37.1KLiquidity $63.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenSD-AL House winner?
Volume $5.5KOpen interest $3.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: sd-al-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-sd-al-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-sd-al-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-SDAL-26
KXHOUSERACE-SDAL-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-SDAL-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 95.8% | 96.1% | −0.3 |
Polymarket only · 1Nikki Gronli (D)
Kalshi only · 1Nicole Gronli
Probability chart · Marty Jackley (R)
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