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Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Surrey Mayoral Election
Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $32.8KLiquidity $59.6KEnds Oct 18
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpenSurrey mayoral election winner?
Volume $7.3KOpen interest $3.7KEnds Oct 17
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: surrey-mayoral-election-20260807185613301
will-brenda-locke-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590826
will-doug-mccallum-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590827
will-honveer-singh-randhawa-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590830
will-linda-annis-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590828
will-mike-starchuk-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590829
will-troy-van-vliet-win-the-2026-surrey-mayoral-election-1786127590831
Kalshi
Market: KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-BLOC
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-DMCC
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-HRAN
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-LANN
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-MSTA
KXSURREYMAYOR-26OCT17-TVAN
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.5% | 58.0% | 62.0% | +2.5 | |
| 22.8% | 20.0% | 17.0% | +2.7 | |
| 4.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | −4.4 | |
| 1.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | −3.4 | |
| 0.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | −5.8 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Brenda Locke
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