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Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi20 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 2Kalshi only · 9
Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket13 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $77.3KLiquidity $264.0KEnds Jun 7
Kalshi20 catalog outcomesOpenTlaxcala Governor winner?
Volume $44.2KOpen interest $21.5KEnds Jun 6
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tlaxcala-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
will-adriana-davila-fernandez-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858368
will-alfonso-sanchez-garcia-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858357
will-ana-lilia-rivera-rivera-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858358
will-anabell-avalos-zempoalteca-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858367
will-carlos-augusto-perez-hernandez-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858359
will-concepcion-sanchez-gonzalez-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858362
will-danae-figueroa-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858369
will-floria-maria-hernandez-hernandez-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858366
will-hector-bernardo-paredes-mora-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858364
will-irma-yordana-garay-loredo-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858365
will-juan-salvador-santos-cedillo-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858361
will-raymundo-vazquez-conchas-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858360
will-vicente-emilio-ponce-cano-win-the-2027-tlaxcala-governor-election-20260803173858363
Kalshi
Market: KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-AALO
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-ASGA
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-ALRI
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-AAZE
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-ADGU
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-CAPH
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-CSGO
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-DSPI
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-EPSA
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-FMHH
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-FJSH
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-HBPM
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-IYGL
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-JMCS
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-JSSC
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-MMSC
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-RVCO
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-RAHC
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-SLAR
KXTLAXGOV-27JUN06-VEPC
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 53.5% | 56.0% | −1.9 | |
| 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | −2.2 | |
| 3.4% | 0.5% | 3.0% | +2.9 | |
| 2.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | +1.9 | |
| 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | −1.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 4.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | −1.4 | |
| 0.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | −2.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 3.0% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 2Adriana Dávila FernándezDanae Figueroa
Kalshi only · 9Alejandro Aguilar LópezArturo Díaz GutiérrezDelfino Suárez PiedrasEnrique Padilla SánchezFrancisco Javier Soto HernándezJuan Manuel Cambrón SoriaMiriam Martínez SánchezRaúl Antonio Hernández Castro
Probability chart · Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera
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