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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TN-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenTN-03 House Election Winner
Volume $44.7KLiquidity $36.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $14.5KOpen interest $7.1KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tn-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tn-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tn-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26
KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 96.7% | 96.0% | −1.1 | |
| 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | +0.1 |
Probability chart · Chuck Fleischmann (R)
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