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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TN-04 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $83.5KLiquidity $57.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTN-04 House winner?
Volume $7.6KOpen interest $6.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tn-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tn-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tn-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TN04-26
KXHOUSERACE-TN04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TN04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.9% | 96.5% | 95.4% | −0.6 | |
| 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | −0.7 |
Probability chart · Scott DesJarlais (R)
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