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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-01 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $60.1KLiquidity $39.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-01 House winner?
Volume $8.4KOpen interest $4.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX01-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX01-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TX01-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.5% | 98.0% | 97.9% | −1.4 | |
| 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | +0.6 |
Probability chart · Nathaniel Moran (R)
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