← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-02 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $30.6KLiquidity $73.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-02 House winner?
Volume $1.5KOpen interest $1.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-02-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-02-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX02-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX02-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX02-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.0% | 91.7% | 94.9% | +0.3 | |
| 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | +1.6 |
Probability chart · Steve Toth (R)
loading history
No history to chart yet