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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-03 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $41.6KLiquidity $58.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-03 House winner?
Volume $15.1KOpen interest $8.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX03-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 93.8% | 92.9% | +0.6 | |
| 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | −1.4 |
Probability chart · Keith Self (R)
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