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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-04 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $43.9KLiquidity $57.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-04 House winner?
Volume $3.5KOpen interest $1.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX04-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.5% | 93.5% | 91.7% | +1.9 | |
| 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | −1.1 |
Probability chart · Pat Fallon (R)
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