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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-06 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $77.9KLiquidity $102.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-06 House winner?
Volume $2.8KOpen interest $1.6KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-06-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-06-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-06-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX06-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX06-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX06-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.4% | 95.8% | 96.6% | −0.4 | |
| 0.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | −1.9 |
Probability chart · Jake Ellzey (R)
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