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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-12 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $42.7KLiquidity $143.3KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-12 House winner?
Volume $5.7KOpen interest $2.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-12-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-12-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-12-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX12-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX12-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX12-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.9% | 93.5% | 95.0% | +1.3 | |
| 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Craig Goldman (R)
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