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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-16 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-16 House Election Winner
Volume $27.1KLiquidity $36.6KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $645Open interest $524Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-16-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-16-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-16-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX16-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX16-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TX16-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.4% | 96.2% | 92.1% | +1.2 | |
| 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Veronica Escobar (D)
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