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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-22 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $26.7KLiquidity $70.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-22 House winner?
Volume $4.5KOpen interest $3.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-22-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-22-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-22-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX22-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX22-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-TX22-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.5% | 91.5% | 92.8% | 0.0 | |
| 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | −0.5 |
Probability chart · Trever Nehls (R)
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