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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-26 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $34.9KLiquidity $40.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-26 House winner?
Volume $19.5KOpen interest $3.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-26-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-26-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-26-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX26-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX26-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TX26-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.5% | 96.5% | 93.6% | +1.1 | |
| 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | −1.3 |
Probability chart · Brandon Gill (R)
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