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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-30 House Election Winner
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $48.5KLiquidity $45.1KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-30 House winner?
Volume $4.1KOpen interest $2.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-30-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-30-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-30-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX30-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX30-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TX30-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | 97.8% | 96.6% | −2.7 | |
| 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | +0.3 |
Probability chart · Frederick Haynes III (D)
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