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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
TX-34 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-34 House Election Winner
Volume $10.5KLiquidity $57.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $64.7KOpen interest $35.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-34-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-34-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-34-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSETX34-26
HOUSETX34-26-R
HOUSETX34-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.0% | 83.5% | 85.0% | −1.5 | |
| 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.0% | +1.0 |
Probability chart · Vicente Gonzalez (D)
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