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Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
US defaults before 2027?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket1 catalog outcomesOpenUS defaults on debt by 2027?
Volume $18.3KLiquidity $2.3KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi1 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.9KOpen interest $1.2KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027
us-defaults-on-debt-by-2027
Kalshi
Market: KXDEFAULT-26DEC31
KXDEFAULT-26DEC31
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | +0.5 |
Probability chart · US defaults on debt by 2027?
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