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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
UT-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenUT-04 House Election Winner
Volume $51.4KLiquidity $110.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $3.6KOpen interest $2.2KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ut-04-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ut-04-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ut-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-UT04-26
KXHOUSERACE-UT04-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-UT04-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.0% | 92.3% | 94.2% | +0.8 | |
| 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | +0.2 |
Probability chart · Mike Kennedy (R)
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