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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
VA-01 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVA-01 House Election Winner
Volume $63.7KLiquidity $75.2KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $150.1KOpen interest $85.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: va-01-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-va-01-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-va-01-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: HOUSEVA1-26
HOUSEVA1-26-R
HOUSEVA1-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 48.5% | 49.0% | +1.5 | |
| 49.0% | 51.5% | 52.0% | −2.5 |
Probability chart · Shannon Taylor (D)
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