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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
VA-03 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVA-03 House Election Winner
Volume $68.7KLiquidity $37.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $986Open interest $749Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: va-03-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-va-03-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-va-03-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-VA03-26
KXHOUSERACE-VA03-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-VA03-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.2% | 97.8% | 93.9% | −2.6 | |
| 3.0% | 1.9% | 5.5% | +1.1 |
Probability chart · Bobby Scott (D)
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