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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
VA-11 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVA-11 House Election Winner
Volume $29.2KLiquidity $37.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $4.3KOpen interest $1.5KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: va-11-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-va-11-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-va-11-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-VA11-26
KXHOUSERACE-VA11-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-VA11-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97.7% | 96.7% | 98.5% | +1.0 | |
| 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | −1.0 |
Probability chart · James Walkinshaw (D)
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