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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Virginia Senate winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVirginia Senate Election Winner
Volume $23.7KLiquidity $65.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $31.4KOpen interest $14.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: virginia-senate-election-winner
will-the-republicans-win-the-virginia-senate-race-in-2026
will-the-democrats-win-the-virginia-senate-race-in-2026
Kalshi
Market: SENATEVA-26
SENATEVA-26-R
SENATEVA-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | 98.4% | 97.8% | −0.3 | |
| 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | +1.0 |
Probability chart · Mark Warner (D)
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