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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
VT-AL House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenVT-AL House Election Winner
Volume $51.3KLiquidity $49.7KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.2KOpen interest $5.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: vt-al-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-vt-al-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-vt-al-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-VTAL-26
KXHOUSERACE-VTAL-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-VTAL-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | 97.0% | 94.8% | +1.0 | |
| 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.2% | +0.4 |
Probability chart · Becca Balint (D)
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