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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
WA-02 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenWA-02 House Election Winner
Volume $32.5KLiquidity $43.5KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $949Open interest $756Ends Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: wa-02-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-wa-02-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-wa-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-WA02-26
KXHOUSERACE-WA02-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-WA02-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.6% | 96.2% | 97.0% | −0.6 | |
| 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | +0.9 |
Probability chart · Rick Larsen (D)
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