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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
WA-04 House winner?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenWA-04 House Election Winner
Volume $57.9KLiquidity $84.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $32.2KOpen interest $14.7KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: wa-04-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-wa-04-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-wa-04-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-WA04-26
KXHOUSERACE-WA04-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-WA04-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.5% | 92.7% | 93.8% | −0.1 | |
| 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | −0.3 |
Probability chart · Amanda McKinney (R)
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