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Updated 1s agoPolymarket20 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi21 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 2
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket20 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $65.9KLiquidity $22.1KEnds Nov 30
Kalshi21 catalog outcomesOpenWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
Volume $751.3KOpen interest $346.2KEnds Dec 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-20260723184627863
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412700
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412701
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412702
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412703
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412704
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412705
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412706
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412707
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412708
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412709
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412710
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412711
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412712
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412719
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412713
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412714
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412715
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412716
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412717
will-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-for-the-2026-hurricane-season-be-20260723185412718
Kalshi
Market: KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-ART
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-BER
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-CRI
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-DOL
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-EDO
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-FAY
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-GON
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-HAN
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-ISA
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-JOS
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-KYL
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-LEA
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-MAR
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-NAN
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-OMA
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-PAU
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-REN
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-SAL
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-TED
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-VIC
KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL-WIL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 53.5% | 55.0% | +12.1 | |
| 11.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | +3.2 | |
| 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | −3.8 | |
| 5.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | −5.5 | |
| 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | +1.7 | |
| 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.9 | |
| 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | −1.8 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.1 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.2 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.2 | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.4 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.5 |
Polymarket only · 1Other
Kalshi only · 2ArthurBertha
Probability chart · Isaias
loading history
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