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Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 11Kalshi only · 7
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $6.91MLiquidity $512.8KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpenFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Volume $357.4KOpen interest $226.0KEnds Dec 9
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-681
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-a8ms-587
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-739
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-736
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-971
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-876
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-2pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-218
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-593
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-282
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-352
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-3pt75-at-the-end-of-2026-166
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-386
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt25-at-the-end-of-2026-984
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-1pt0-at-the-end-of-2026-434
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt5-at-the-end-of-2026-139
Kalshi
Market: KXFED-26DEC
KXFED-26DEC-T2.75
KXFED-26DEC-T3.00
KXFED-26DEC-T3.25
KXFED-26DEC-T3.50
KXFED-26DEC-T3.75
KXFED-26DEC-T4.00
KXFED-26DEC-T4.25
KXFED-26DEC-T4.50
KXFED-26DEC-T4.75
KXFED-26DEC-T5.00
KXFED-26DEC-T5.25
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.7% | 20.5% | 17.0% | +39.1 | |
| 1.2% | 95.5% | 94.0% | −94.3 | |
| 0.4% | 98.5% | 99.0% | −98.1 | |
| 0.3% | 99.0% | 99.0% | −98.8 |
Polymarket only · 111.251.5%1.75%2.0%2.25%2.5%3.0%3.5%
Kalshi only · 7Above 3.00%Above 3.50%Above 4.00%Above 4.50%Above 4.75%Above 5.00%Above 5.25%
Probability chart · 4.25%
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