← All clusters
Updated 1s agoPolymarket28 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi114 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 9Kalshi only · 95
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket28 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $181.5KLiquidity $6.3KEnds Jan 2
Kalshi114 catalog outcomesOpenWho will have a #1 hit this year?
Volume $253.0KOpen interest $103.1KEnds Dec 21
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-artists-will-have-a-billboard-1-song-this-year
will-aap-rocky-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-ariana-grande-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-bad-bunny-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-billie-eilish-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-doja-cat-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-drake-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-ed-sheeran-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-frank-ocean-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-969-225
will-future-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-harry-styles-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-jack-harlow-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-kanye-west-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-738-548
will-kendrick-lamar-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-lil-baby-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-luke-combs-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-mariah-carey-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-morgan-wallen-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-olivia-rodrigo-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-peso-pluma-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-playboi-carti-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-post-malone-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-rihanna-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-sabrina-carpenter-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-sza-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026
will-the-weeknd-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-252
will-travis-scott-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-882-959
will-tyler-the-creator-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-116-478
will-zach-bryan-have-a-1-song-on-the-billboard-hot-100-in-2026-615-188
Kalshi
Market: KX1SONG-DEC2626
KX1SONG-DEC2626-2CH
KX1SONG-DEC2626-21S
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ADD
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ALE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ANU
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEB
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEY
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIG
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BLA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BRY
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CAL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CAM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CHAP
KX1SONG-DEC2626-XCX
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CHA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CHI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CHR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CLA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-COL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DAF
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DAN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DAV
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DOE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DOJ
KX1SONG-DEC2626-DON
KX1SONG-DEC2626-CUA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ED
KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ESDEEKID
KX1SONG-DEC2626-FAL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-FRA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-FRE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-FUT
KX1SONG-DEC2626-GEE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRIM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ICE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JCO
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JAS
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JOH
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JOJ
KX1SONG-DEC2626-JUS
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TIM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAT
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KEN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KHA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KIDC
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KOD
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LAD
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LAN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LEO
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LEW
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BAB
KX1SONG-DEC2626-NASX
KX1SONG-DEC2626-UZI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-WAY
KX1SONG-DEC2626-YAC
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LIN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LOG
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LOL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-LUK
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MAR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MARO
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MEG
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MGK
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MIG
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MOR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-NF
KX1SONG-DEC2626-NIC
KX1SONG-DEC2626-OFF
KX1SONG-DEC2626-OLI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-OZU
KX1SONG-DEC2626-PAR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-PHA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-PIN
KX1SONG-DEC2626-POL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-POS
KX1SONG-DEC2626-QUA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-RUA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-RIH
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ROD
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ROS
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SAB
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SAM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SEL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SHA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SHAW
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SIA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SIE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SOM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-STR
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SWA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-SZA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TAM
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TAT
KX1SONG-DEC2626-KID
KX1SONG-DEC2626-MARI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-WEE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TRA
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TRI
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TYG
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TYL
KX1SONG-DEC2626-TYLE
KX1SONG-DEC2626-USH
KX1SONG-DEC2626-THU
KX1SONG-DEC2626-YOU
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ZAC
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ZAR
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.7% | 90.5% | 89.0% | +5.1 | |
| 26.5% | 31.5% | 33.0% | −5.0 | |
| 21.5% | 21.0% | 19.0% | +0.5 | |
| 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 16.0% | 16.5% | 16.0% | −0.5 | |
| 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | +2.5 | |
| 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | +3.5 | |
| 13.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | +5.0 | |
| 12.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | +5.9 | |
| 12.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | +5.5 | |
| 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | +2.2 | |
| 11.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | +7.5 | |
| 10.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | +6.7 | |
| 9.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | +6.8 | |
| 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | +4.0 | |
| 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | +1.0 | |
| 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | +0.6 | |
| 3.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | −8.6 | |
| 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | −0.1 |
Polymarket only · 9A$AP RockyAriana GrandeBad BunnyDrakeHarry StylesJack HarlowOlivia RodrigoPeso Pluma
Kalshi only · 952 Chainz21 SavageAddison RaeAlex WarrenAnuel AABebe RexhaBenson BooneBeyoncé
Probability chart · Mariah Carey
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