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Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 4Kalshi only · 1
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket9 catalog outcomesOpenLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Volume $54.5KLiquidity $23.3KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $23.1KOpen interest $10.6KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: lead-bank-in-openais-ipo
will-bank-of-america-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-barclays-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-citigroup-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-deutsche-bank-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-goldman-sachs-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-jpmorgan-chase-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-morgan-stanley-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offeringwill-morgan-stanley-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-ubs-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
will-wells-fargo-or-any-of-its-underwriting-affiliates-serve-as-the-lead-underwriter-in-openais-initial-public-offering
Kalshi
Market: KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-BOAX
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-CITIX
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-GSX
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-JPMX
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-MSX
KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-NLOX
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 78.0% | 79.0% | −0.5 | |
| 22.5% | 22.0% | 22.0% | +0.5 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 4.0% | −0.3 | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | −0.3 |
Polymarket only · 4BarclaysDeutsche BankUBSWells Fargo
Kalshi only · 1No Listed Underwriter
Probability chart · Goldman Sachs
loading history
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