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Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi30 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 16
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket15 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $172.5KLiquidity $106.5KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi30 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $613.4KOpen interest $206.3KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
will-2pt50-coin-become-law-this-year
will-ai-chip-export-licensing-become-law-this-year
will-credit-card-routing-competition-become-law-this-year
will-the-critical-minerals-stockpile-become-law-this-year
will-data-center-utility-cost-protection-become-law-this-year
will-the-defiance-act-become-law-this-year
will-export-control-chip-security-become-law-this-year
will-filmtv-production-expensing-become-law-this-year
will-fisa-section-702-reauthorization-become-law-this-year
will-the-housing-for-the-21st-century-act-become-law-this-year
will-the-no-fakes-act-become-law-this-year
will-the-self-drive-act-become-law-this-year
will-the-shower-act-become-law-this-year
will-the-smithsonian-womens-history-museum-become-law-this-year
will-trump-airport-become-law-this-year
Kalshi
Market: KXBILLS
KXBILLS-250C
KXBILLS-ADSB
KXBILLS-AIO
KXBILLS-CCR
KXBILLS-MIN
KXBILLS-DATA
KXBILLS-BBAC
KXBILLS-DEFY
KXBILLS-DIGNITY
KXBILLS-E15
KXBILLS-EVFEE
KXBILLS-CHIP
KXBILLS-TV
KXBILLS-FISA
KXBILLS-BRAGG
KXBILLS-HRCA
KXBILLS-26JUN-INSULIN
KXBILLS-26-JAWB
KXBILLS-JSEC
KXBILLS-FAKES
KXBILLS-NIL
KXBILLS-26MAY-RAIL
KXBILLS-ROTOR
KXBILLS-DRIVE
KXBILLS-SHOW
KXBILLS-SMITH
KXBILLS-SURF
KXBILLS-AIRP
KXBILLS-DJTB
KXBILLS-BALL
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.0% | 25.0% | 23.0% | +6.0 | |
| 30.0% | 26.5% | 27.0% | +3.5 | |
| 17.4% | 6.9% | 11.0% | +10.6 | |
| 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | +2.9 | |
| 13.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | +5.4 | |
| 13.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | +7.4 | |
| 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.0% | −1.5 | |
| 11.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | +5.9 | |
| 8.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | +3.5 | |
| 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | +3.9 | |
| 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | +0.2 | |
| 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | +0.2 | |
| 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | −1.6 |
Polymarket only · 1Housing for the 21st Century Act
Kalshi only · 16ADS-B revenue-use restrictionDefense-contractor stock-buyback restrictionsDignity ActE15 year-round salesElectric vehicle Highway Trust Fund feeFort Bragg → Fort LibertyHot Rotisserie Chicken ActInsulin cost cap
Probability chart · AI-chip export licensing
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