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Updated 1s agoPolymarket20 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi21 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 2Kalshi only · 3
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket20 catalog outcomesOpenWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
Volume $196.1KLiquidity $11.8KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi21 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $1.21MOpen interest $317.9KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-anduril-industries-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-anthropic-pbc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-the-boeing-company
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-d-wave-quantum-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-eli-lilly-and-company
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-freeport-mcmoran-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-globalfoundries-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-ionq-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-lockheed-martin-corporation
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-micron-technology-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-nvidia-corporation
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-openai
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-palantir-technologies-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-pfizer-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-rigetti-computing-inc
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-samsung-electronics-co-ltd
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-spacex
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-tiktok-usds-joint-venture-llc-or-bytedance
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company-limited
will-the-us-federal-government-take-a-stake-in-unusual-machines
Kalshi
Market: KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANDU
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-ANTH
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-BA
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-QBTS
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LLY
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-FCX
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-GFS
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-IONQ
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-LMT
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-MU
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-NTEC
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-NVDA
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-OAI
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PLTR
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PDW
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-PFE
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-RGTI
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-SPI
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-TTOK
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-TSM
KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-UMAC
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 94.0% | +50.0 | |
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 97.0% | +50.0 | |
| 100.0% | 50.0% | 97.0% | +50.0 | |
| 53.5% | 40.5% | 45.0% | +13.0 | |
| 20.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | −2.0 | |
| 17.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% | +3.5 | |
| 15.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | +3.0 | |
| 15.5% | 17.5% | 18.0% | −2.0 | |
| 14.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | +4.0 | |
| 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | +4.0 | |
| 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | +1.5 | |
| 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | +1.0 | |
| 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | −0.1 | |
| 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | +2.5 | |
| 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | −1.2 | |
| 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | −4.0 | |
| 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | −1.9 | |
| 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | −1.8 |
Polymarket only · 2Samsung ElectronicsSpaceX
Kalshi only · 3Neros TechnologiesPerformance Drone WorksSpirit Airlines
Probability chart · GlobalFoundries
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