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Updated 1s agoPolymarket21 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 14Kalshi only · 4
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket21 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $35.3KLiquidity $1.0KEnds Jan 1
Kalshi11 catalog outcomesOpenUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
Volume $23.1KOpen interest $6.6KEnds Jan 1
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-guests-will-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-before-2027
will-anatoly-yakovenko-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-426
will-andrew-kang-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-951
will-ansem-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
will-arthur-hayes-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-949
will-brian-armstrong-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-915
will-cz-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-166
will-gainzy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-421
will-gcr-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-541
will-guy-young-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
will-javier-milei-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-135
will-jeff-yan-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-536
will-jesse-pollak-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-891
will-light-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-615
will-martin-shkreli-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-321
will-michael-saylor-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-572
will-sbf-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-155
will-su-zhu-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31
will-thiccy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-591
will-thomas-lee-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-919
will-threadguy-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-992
will-vitalik-buterin-appear-on-the-uponly-podcast-by-december-31-691
Kalshi
Market: KXUPONLY-01
KXUPONLY-01-ANSE
KXUPONLY-01-ARTH
KXUPONLY-01-BARR
KXUPONLY-01-BRIA
KXUPONLY-01-DEGE
KXUPONLY-01-GCR
KXUPONLY-01-JAME
KXUPONLY-01-JEFF
KXUPONLY-01-JESS
KXUPONLY-01-MART
KXUPONLY-01-SBF
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | +46.8 | |
| 42.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | +39.5 | |
| 40.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | +33.9 | |
| 36.8% | 4.5% | 9.0% | +32.3 | |
| 30.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | +25.4 | |
| 12.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | +10.1 | |
| 7.0% | 12.0% | 19.0% | −5.0 |
Polymarket only · 14Anatoly YakovenkoAndrew KangCZGainzyGuy YoungJavier MileilightMichael Saylor
Kalshi only · 4Barron TrumpDegenPingJames WynnSam Bankman-Fried
Probability chart · GCR
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