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Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket7 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $48.2KLiquidity $33.0KEnds Sep 7
Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpenWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Volume $8.8KOpen interest $4.4KEnds Jan 15
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-parties-will-be-in-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-afd-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-bsw-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-cdu-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-fdp-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-grune-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-linke-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
will-spd-be-in-the-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
Kalshi
Market: KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-AFD
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-BSW
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-CDU
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-LINKE
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-FDP
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-GRUENE
KXSAXANHGOVT-27JAN15-SPD
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | −8.0 | |
| 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.0% | −0.5 | |
| 10.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | −4.5 | |
| 9.6% | 18.0% | 19.0% | −8.4 | |
| 8.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | +3.3 | |
| 3.5% | 2.0% | 6.0% | +1.5 |
Polymarket only · 1Grüne
Kalshi only · 1Greens
Probability chart · AfD
loading history
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