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Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 2Kalshi only · 3
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket6 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $2.8KLiquidity $1.5KEnds Nov 8
Kalshi7 catalog outcomesOpenWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Volume $715Open interest $357Ends Mar 15
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-act-new-zealand-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-green-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-labour-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-national-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-new-zealand-first-party-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
will-te-pti-mori-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-new-zealand
Kalshi
Market: KXNZGOVT-27MAR15
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-ACT
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-GRN
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-LAB
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-NAT
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-NZF
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-OPP
KXNZGOVT-27MAR15-TPM
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.0% | 33.0% | 40.0% | +34.0 | |
| 66.0% | 49.0% | 49.0% | +17.0 | |
| 44.5% | 61.0% | 64.0% | −16.5 | |
| 33.5% | 54.5% | 59.0% | −21.0 |
Polymarket only · 2ACT New ZealandGreen Party
Kalshi only · 3ACTGreensOpportunity
Probability chart · Te Pāti Māori
loading history
No history to chart yet