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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 1Kalshi only · 1
Which party will win the House race for AZ-08?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-08 House Election Winner
Volume $11.9KLiquidity $50.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-08 House winner?
Volume $5.4KOpen interest $4.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-08-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-08-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-08-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ08-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ08-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-AZ08-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | −2.0 |
Polymarket only · 1Abraham Hamadeh (R)
Kalshi only · 1Abe Hamadeh
Probability chart · Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)
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