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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Which party will win the House race for AZ-09?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-09 House Election Winner
Volume $36.6KLiquidity $53.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenAZ-09 House winner?
Volume $4.1KOpen interest $3.0KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: az-09-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-09-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-az-09-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-AZ09-26
KXHOUSERACE-AZ09-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-AZ09-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94.5% | 94.8% | 95.0% | −0.3 | |
| 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | −1.8 |
Probability chart · Paul Gosar (R)
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