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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Which party will win the House race for IA-02?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenIA-02 House Election Winner
Volume $25.7KLiquidity $140.8KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenIA-02 House winner?
Volume $34.2KOpen interest $26.3KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: ia-02-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-ia-02-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ia-02-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-IA02-26
KXHOUSERACE-IA02-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-IA02-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.5% | 55.5% | 56.0% | −2.0 | |
| 46.5% | 44.5% | 46.0% | +2.0 |
Probability chart · Lindsay James (D)
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