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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Which party will win the House race for PA-16?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-16 House Election Winner
Volume $41.4KLiquidity $70.0KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenPA-16 House winner?
Volume $11.0KOpen interest $5.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: pa-16-house-election-winner
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-pa-16-house-seat
will-the-republican-party-win-the-pa-16-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-PA16-26
KXHOUSERACE-PA16-26-D
KXHOUSERACE-PA16-26-R
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.5% | 91.3% | 92.0% | +0.2 | |
| 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | −0.8 |
Probability chart · Mike Kelly (R)
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