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Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Which party will win the House race for TX-38?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-38 House Election Winner
Volume $28.5KLiquidity $64.9KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi2 catalog outcomesOpenTX-38 House winner?
Volume $6.5KOpen interest $3.4KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: tx-38-house-election-winner
will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-38-house-seat
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-tx-38-house-seat
Kalshi
Market: KXHOUSERACE-TX38-26
KXHOUSERACE-TX38-26-R
KXHOUSERACE-TX38-26-D
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.5% | 92.3% | 94.3% | −1.8 | |
| 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | +1.7 |
Probability chart · Jon Bonck (R)
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