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Updated 1s agoPolymarket17 catalog outcomesOpen Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpen Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗
Polymarket only · 6Kalshi only · 1
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
Updated 1s agoPolymarket17 catalog outcomesOpenVolume $13.6KLiquidity $265.4KEnds Nov 4
Kalshi12 catalog outcomesOpenWhich Senate races will be within 1 point?
Volume $3.6KOpen interest $2.9KEnds Nov 3
Polymarket ↗Kalshi ↗Market and outcome ids
Polymarket
Market: which-senate-races-will-be-within-1
will-the-alaska-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-colorado-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-florida-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-georgia-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-iowa-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-kansas-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-maine-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-michigan-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-minnesota-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-montana-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-nebraska-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-new-hampshire-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-new-mexico-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-north-carolina-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-ohio-special-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-texas-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
will-the-virginia-2026-senate-race-be-within-1
Kalshi
Market: KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-AK
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-FL
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-IA
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-KS
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-ME
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-MI
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-NE
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-NH
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-NC
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-OH
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-SC
KXSENATEWITHIN1-26NOV03-TX
Compared outcomes
Alignment is from catalog labels only. Uneven lists stay unmatched rather than guessed.
Kalshi mid is the midpoint of the live buy and sell offers; last is the most recent trade price. The gap compares Polymarket to the Kalshi mid.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Mid | Last | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | +13.0 | |
| 19.5% | 18.5% | 17.0% | +1.0 | |
| 19.5% | 13.0% | 16.0% | +6.5 | |
| 16.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% | +1.0 | |
| 15.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | +3.0 | |
| 14.5% | 13.5% | 18.0% | +1.0 | |
| 14.4% | 15.0% | 18.0% | −0.6 | |
| 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | +3.0 | |
| 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | −4.0 | |
| 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% | +0.5 |
Polymarket only · 6ColoradoGeorgiaMinnesotaMontanaNew MexicoVirginia
Kalshi only · 1South Carolina
Probability chart · Ohio (Special)
loading history
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